I (Matty D.) am 68% against the spread so far this season. That’s 30-14 record on the season (with one tie). Scroll to the far below to see a time stamp history on Twitter to prove that my record is legit.
My first prediction for this weekend is that St. John’s won’t cover 8 1/2 points hosting Creighton. If you have watched any St. John’s game this year, you know this: nothing is easy. I won’t give St. John’s a stitch of a chance of winning another game this year by 8.5+ points. Not by a stitch of Lou Carnesecca’s sweater. If you watched (again, Eye Test here people) the Creighton St. John’s game in Iowa, you know that the Storm fought their five-boroughs off just to be in that game. As per usual, Chris Obekpa and DeAngelo Harrison were over-taxed. Rysheed Jordan was MIA. Sir Dominic Pointer was royalty as the name suggests. This is the team storyline until they prove me otherwise.
How is Duke giving Notre Dame nine points? The Irish could easily hit six three-pointers, which would be 18 points, hence making a 27 point 2-point field goal disadvantage unlikely. I feel like baked into this point spread is the fact that Duke robbed a victory at Notre Dame. However, the eye test clearly tells you that the Irish have the size, skill and altheticisim to make this a one-three possession game if not winning it outright.
Come on, Kansas is going down to Oklahoma State and winning the game. The Jayhawks are a one point underdog. If they win this game, they will essentially wrap-up the 11th consecutive Big 12 league title. The significance of this is not lost on the hometown crowd in Lawrence, Kansas. It will not be lost on the Jayhawks wings, who are playing out of their minds (Greene, Seldon, Oubre).
I have been riding this horse all year. I can’t ignore Purdue getting 5 1/2 points against Minnesota. The Gophers are not an NCAA team. Mini Pitino is going through the growing pains as a head coach that’d you’d expect from any 30-something year old overseeing his first-ever team in a major conference. Purdue’s two big men will outlast Mo Walker (Gopher’s big man). Minnesota I think will win the ball game, but a Purdue win could clinch the inside track to a tournament berth. Therefore, I just don’t see Purdue losing by three possession or more.
Hawaii and Texas A&M are both tempting to take this weekend. But, the ebb and flow of college basketball won’t let me do it. The respective home teams, UC Santa Barbara and Mizzou, have a lot of pride and an uphill battle to gain respectability on their home turf over the next month.
Tulsa will beat SMU outright and position itself as the team to beat in the American Conference (as if they haven’t already). Speaking of Mizzou, the refugee of Columbia, Missouri, Frank Haith is coaching an inspired club that plays below the rim but outworks teams over-and-again. I think Tulsa wins this game, Cincinnati slips-up somehow, and UCONN wins the American Conference tournament. Memphis is just not an NCAA Tournament team (see my pick last year of the Memphis Tigers not covering the 17 point spread at Gonzaga…which they did not). Tulsa will win. That would place Tulsa, UCONN and Temple in the NCAA Tournament. But, hey, that’s just me.
Here is a history of my selections so far this season:
(Starting with the most recent)