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About College Basketball Eye Test

There is no replacement for actually watching the games. My name is Matty D. I am a college basketball junkie. And, although I respect big data stat gurus like kenpom.com, this website is the antithesis of that. Talk hoops with me and tell me what you've actually seen. What players step up in clutch situations? Which coaches make the right adjustments? Who disappears when the lights get bright? The "college basketball eye test" is a chat dedicated to storylines bubbling below the surface before they become national trends. Check the first-ever article I wrote on this website. I listed UCONN as one of 5 underdogs I could see winning the NCAA title. They did. Last season Darren Rovell tweeted visual proof of how I predicted upset victories for UAB and Georgia State together. Watch the games and join the conversation. Tweet @CBBEyeTest and have your observations added to the mix!

Suspect Spreads Saturday 2015-16 Record

It’s an uphill battle for College Basketball Eye Test to match its win percentage of 60% last season.  Look for our picks against the spread before Saturday’s action with the hashtag #SuspectSpreadsSaturday.

We went 5-0 at last attempt to improve to 9-12 overall.  Here’s an archive of the picks, starting with the most recent.

 

2-3, 4-12 Overall

2-4, 2-9 Overall

0-5 ROUGH START!

https://twitter.com/CBBEyeTest/status/667963045390458881

Hilton Magic Continues

The Cyclones saw a storm come through its arena Thursday night.

Jarrod Uthoff, the one-time Wisconsin Badger, had his national coming out party as he looked like Dirk Nowitzi in the first half.

Iowa led 49-35 at halftime and maintained as large as a 20 point lead.

The Cyclones would, however, generate the final storm.

College Basketball Eye Test reminded folks at halftime about this Iowa State team’s historic (tied for largest ever) comeback against Oklahoma last season at the Hilton Coliseum.

Uthoff scored just two points in the second half after a 30 point explosion in the first.  Iowa still shot 52% from the field, but Uthoff missed six shots.

A last-moment bucket by Monte Morris capped off an 83-82 comeback victory for Iowa State.  It was a feather-in-the-cap effort that proved Steve Prohm’s Cyclones squad can defend as well as “just outscore” its opponent.

 

Dayton Did Not “Upset” Vanderbilt

Don’t call it a comeback.

Dayton has been here for years.

Don’t call it an upset, either.

Dayton’s one blemish on its record this season is a 29 point loss to Xavier.  Let’s not overreact about that loss and now call Dayton’s win against Vanderbilt “an upset.”

Xavier is currently the 12th ranked team by the Associated Press and Ken Pomeroy’s 11th ranked squad.  Loss forgiven.

Tonight Dayton completely muted the projected 11th overall pick in next Spring’s NBA Draft, Damian Jones.  Dayton’s guards flew down into the paint to grab defensive rebounds late to seal victory.

Dayton rallied from down 16 to beat Vandy in their house.

Forward Kendall Pollard knocked down a late possession 3 pointer, a rare shot for him, to land the knockout punch.  Pollard scored 21 points in addition to epitomizing Dayton’s grit with that shot.

Freshman center Steve McElvene also prospered with the absence of Vanderbilt big man, Luke Kornett.  He registered 10 and 9.

Devin Oliver, who played on Dayton’s 2014 Elite 8 team, enjoyed the victory while overseas.  He is now playing professionally in Israel, according to his Twitter bio.

The prognosticators are also prognosticating.  People “in the know” know that this could be a bubble-avoiding win for more Archie Madness.

Eye Test Tuesday: A Buffet of Tourney-Worthy Teams

A bevy of basketball’s finest teams appear on ESPN Networks tonight.  Not only are top 10 ranked squads appearing in national primetime, but also teams that will straddle that top 25 line throughout this season.  Those teams—Miami, UCONN and Michigan—may prove to be the most dangerous as their mixture of youth and newcomers congeal early Spring.

Here’s your timetable:

6 p.m. Virginia vs. West Virginia on ESPN
6 p.m. Colgate at Syracuse on ESPNU
6 p.m. Florida at Miami on ESPN2
8 p.m. UCONN at Maryland on ESPN
8 p.m.  Stony Brook at Notre Dame on ESPNU
8 p.m. Michigan at SMU on ESPN2

Vote for the best team, according to YOUR eye test:

Michigan State Basketball Reacts to Football Championship

As the Twitterverse was buzzing over LJ Scott’s second effort, so were the Michigan State basketball players.

Of course, head basketball coach Tom Izzo was in the house:

Freshman Deyonta Davis was quick to tweet after the Spartans’ Big 10 Championship:

https://twitter.com/DeyontaDavis_/status/673363531388076032

 

Junior Guard Alvin Ellis also went with the go-to Dave Chappelle GIF to illustrate his thoughts to non-Sparty fans:

Ellis retweeted that, plus a dip from Sparty himself:

 

 

 

“Cheick Please” Is Coined

Cheick Diallo was as advertised.  Against Loyolla in his collegiate premiere, Diallo seemed to play angry while still under control.  He played often with the 1’s in the first half.  His first bucket as  Jayhawk came on a dunk assisted by Wayne Seldon in the second half.

Matty D Media 1

While Cheick dominated the second half, suspended player Brannon Greene had the look of, “check please.”  This photo is not a troll-job, or a random “gotcha” moment.   This is how Brannon Greene’s posture looked the majority of the second half.  Click here to read the background, courtesy The Kansas City Star.

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Cheick did it.  He put on a show.  He played with fellow freshmen Carlton Bragg Jr. and Lagerald Vick as if he were the elder-statesman.  Tuesday night he motioned with one finger to the sky, like “throw that up to me.”  His teammates clearly responded by continuously looking for him in the post.  Cheick even put his palm to the back of his neck while taking off from just below the free throw line.  Enjoy.
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Kris Dunn Dwayne Wade Comparison

This year, Dunn is primed to be a repeat of Dwayne Wade’s Big East emergence for the Marquette Golden Eagles.  That year, Wade led his 3-seeded Marquette group to the Final 4 with a win over #1 Kentucky.

Dunn is labeled a point guard by fans who watch college basketball through the lens of predicting what a guy will resemble in the NBA.  Those who actually watch the games know that Dunn is no point guard.  He rebounds, attacks the rim, dribbles with a giddy-up that can freeze a defender, shoots that fall-away, wears the number 3, and rips the ball from unsuspecting dribblers from a help defender position.  At Marquette, Wade was listed at 6-5.  Dunn is 6-4.

Dwayne Wade was the 5th overall pick for the Miami Heat in the 2003 NBA Draft.  ESPN’s Chad Ford has Kris Dunn projected as the number 8 pick next Spring.

Chris Paul followed advice to go and see Kris Dunn in person during the DirecTV Wooden Legacy Championship game.  During the ESPN telecast, Paul remarked on Dunn’s aggressive nature for scoring.  Basketball fans who follow @CBBEyeTest on Twitter say Kris Dunn is the frontrunner for Player of the Year.

 

 

Sons of NBA Players in College Basketball 2015-16

There are many sons of NBA players currently in college basketball.  Gary Payton Jr., Sam Cassell Jr., and Jalen Bruson are some of the better-known second generation basketball players.  However, it’s not only point guards who inherit the talent.  Domantas Sabonis is the son of Arvydas Sabonis, but could navigate a much different pro path—playing NBA ball in his prime (Arvydas played overseas for a decade before joining the Blazers).

Elgin Cook’s father, Alvin Robertson, played in the NBA with the San Antonio Spurs.  Cook is now one of the leaders of a nationally ranked Oregon Ducks team.  See a list of more second generation NCAA players below.

Here is a list of NCAA basketball players whose dads played in the NBA:

Son Current team NBA dad NBA team of note
Lasani Johnson Stephen F. Austin Larry Johnson Charlotte Hornets
Aubrey Dawkins Michigan Johnny Dawkins Philadelphia 76ers
Sam Cassell Jr. UCONN Sam Cassell Houston Rockets
Isaiah Wilkins Virginia Dominique Wilkins (stepfather) Atlanta Hawks
Domantas Sabonis Gonzaga Arvydas Sabonis Portland Trailblazers
A.J. English III Iona A.J. English II Denver Nuggets
Justin Robinson Duke David Robinson San Antonio Spurs
Wyatt Lohaus Northern Iowa Brad Lohaus Milwaukee Bucks
Bryce Alford UCLA Steve Alford Dallas Mavericks
Elgin Cook Oregon Alvin Robertson San Antonio Spurs
A.J. Davis UCF Antonio Davis Indiana Pacers
Trey Mourning Georgetown Alonzo Mourning Miami Heat
Jalen Brunson Villanova Rick Brunson Toronto Raptors
Gary Payton, Jr. Oregon State Gary Payton Seattle Supersonics
Kameron Rooks California Sean Rooks LA Clippers
Brandan Stith Old Dominion Bryant Stith Denver Nuggets
Evan Manning Kansas Danny Manning LA Clippers

CLICK HERE FOR SONS OF NBA PLAYERS 2014-15 NCAA SEASON 

 

 

Turkey Takeaways

If the Thanksgiving turkey made you tired, we want to be sure you don’t sleep on these developments.  The holiday weekend was full of quality college basketball.

A&M is For Real

If there was any doubt in your mind the Aggies have game, this battle in Atlantis is Exhibit A for their excellence.  The Aggiees illustrated depth, a transition game, and an ability to stretch the floor.

Tony Trocha-Morelos made Przemek Karnowski  look silly at times on defense.  Trocha-Morelos hit 4-4 from 3 point territory while guarded by the big man.

https://twitter.com/ESPNCBB/status/669969122839683074

A quintessential cliche of the picture-perfect team is one in which the name on the back of the jersey is secondary.  With their slick black-on-black tops, you literally couldn’t see the name of each player darting into passing lanes and diving down to double-team Gonzaga’s three-headed-monster.  Led by Daniel House, Texas A&M excelled past Gonzaga, but was defeated by Syracuse in Battle 4 Atlantis Championship.  Syracuse is banned from postseason play.  The Orange showed it can play the role of spoiler.

Gonzaga Guardplay 

Josh Perkins is sick of hearing you say Gonzaga “lost a lot” at point.

Of course, Gonzaga did lose a tandem of two of the best guards in its program history—Kevin Pangos and Gary Bell, Jr.

If you watched the A&M game, you now know that the siren-sounding about the loss of talent is overblown.  Josh Perkins is a player.  Perkins doesn’t have the deadly range that Kevin Pangos did, but there are things from Perkins game that you didn’t see from Pangos (especially while he was nursing injury as an upperclassmen).  Perkins scored 15 points in the second half.  He led a transition break himself and made an athletic move to stop on a dime and hit a mid-range bucket.  He skied for a rebound in the late minutes to regain possession in a pivotal spot.  Perkins was also efficient from 3 point territory.

Providence Prodigy

We have to sneak this note in before the next paragraph appears to be a slight on the Providence Friars.  Coach Ed Cooley has been knocking on the door of greatness, as in a Sweet Sixteen berth greatness, for a few years now.  His Providence teams have been gritty.  They have also had Kris Dunn.  This year, Dunn is primed to be a repeat of Dwayne Wade’s Big East emergence for the Marquette Golden Eagles.  That year, Wade led his 3-seeded Marquette group to the Final 4 with a win over #1 Kentucky.  Dunn is labeled a point guard by fans who watch college basketball through the lens of predicting what a guy will resemble in the NBA.  Those who actually watch the games know that Dunn is no point guard.  He rebounds, attacks the rim, dribbles with a giddy-up that can freeze a defender, shoots that fall-away, wears the number 3, and rips the ball from unsuspecting dribblers from a help defender position.  At Marquette, Wade was listed at 6-5.  Dunn is 6-4.  Chris Paul followed advice to go and see Kris Dunn in person during the DirecTV Wooden Legacy Championship game.  During the ESPN telecast, Paul remarked on Dunn’s aggressive nature for scoring.  Basketball fans who follow @CBBEyeTest on Twitter say Kris Dunn is the frontrunner for Player of the Year.

Arizona Arrogance 

It’s difficult to understand how Arizona is automatically slotted in the top 15 among AP voters.  When you watch this team, you know it is not a top 25 squad.  The Wildcats went to overtime to defeat a winless Santa Clara team.  The following night Kris Dunn ran circles around Arizona, scoring the final ten points in a win.

Doesn’t it feel like this happens every year?  A cushy spot in the low teens is slotted for the Pac 12.  The same is happening right now for California and Cuonzo Martin’s squad.  Cal is ranked in the teens as is Arizona.  However, both teams suffered losses to unranked teams on neutral floors this holiday.  Let’s stop ranking Pac 12 teams on what potential their rosters have and instead on the productivity on the floor.

The 6-0 Squads Squared Off 

Neither Cincinatti and George Washington are in the Big East, but in Brooklyn’s Barclay’s Center, their matchup looked like an old Big East Championship.

Patricio Garino led the way, again, for the Colonials.  He scored off of steals and from behind-the-arc.  In the end the Bearcats defense guarded Garino tight and dared someone else to beat them.  GW Center Kevin Larson finished the game with just one point and the Colonials lost a game that they had led throughout.

For the Bearcats, sophomore point guard Troy Caupain pressed the gas pedal late.  He led Cincy in minutes played as looks to be the routine.  Their are plenty of mouths to feed in that Cincinatti offense.  The Bearcats took a bite out of their first RPI top 50 win by defeating George Washington.  We really get to see how good the Bearcats are now.  They’ll play Xavier, Butler, Iowa State, VCU and Temple before 2016.

Dunk City Sequel? 

I can’t make the argument that USC 2015 will become Florida Gulf Coast 2013.  Watching the Trojans today tells me that Andy Enfield has a young team that can run the floor and share the rock.  They held Wichita State to 2-17 shooting in the opening session.  Watching this happen, it looked the dizzying tempo Wichita State had to guard affected its offensive output.  Props for the Wichita State win, but I’m not getting super excited seeing that Van Vleet and company were missing in action.  I can say that USC could be a serious handful in 2016.

King James of the Plains 

You’ll laugh reading this, seeing that Wichita State lost three straight.  But Ron Baker is the college basketball version of LeBron James.  His football background allows him to get anywhere he wants on the floor.  Baker is a terrific defender.  He can guard the post and the point.  Baker passes first, but can run the floor and/or put his head down and go get a basket.  And, unlike Ben Simmons (who you could also make the LeBron argument about), Ron Baker is deadly when left open from behind the arc.  It was a pleasure watching Baker lead his undermanned Shocker squad against an upstart USC team.  He almost won the game single-handedly.  Wichita State currently has a carousel of power forwards jockeying for playing time.  Baker seemed to set each up with a pocket pass after drawing a double team around the elbow.  In the end, USC got the best of him.  However, it looked more like LeBron surrounded by Boobie Gibson and Donyell Marshall than it did LeBron surrounded by Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh.  We can’t say Wichita State has a lack of depth.  However, after watching, we can absolutely say that Wichita State has a lack of scoring punch off of the bench.  Freshman Markis McDuffie showed that he can score in the Alabama game.  Despite his contribution, the Shockers are reeling from the absence of Fred Van Vleet and Connor Frankamp.  Help is on the way, King James of the Plains.

Turkeytology 2.0 (a “Bracketology” Holiday Tradition)

Last season collegebasketballeyetest.com correctly picked 40 of the 68 tournament teams on Thanksgiving.

Here is our second crack at it.  Hopefully we’ll improve on last season’s record and move closer to making this a holiday tradition!

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And, to ensure there’s a witness, we tagged Joey Brackets on Twitter…