College Basketball Preview for Saturday, December 17, 2022

What are the suspect spreads for this week?

BY MATT DE SARLE

Like precipitation in the Northeast, the college basketball season is starting to crystalize. The branches of pathways to March Madness already starting to harden. Conference play has begun in earnest across the nation after we’ve already learned a lot about many teams during non-conference play. Below are some picks for today’s action with some reasoning based on what we’ve seen so far.

Iconic programs KU and Indiana square off in evenly-matched gem

The national champion KU Jayhawks will host the upstart Indiana Hoosiers at Allen Fieldhouse today. IU has no business being a 5.5 point underdog. These teams are very evenly matched. In fact, Indiana has the advantage in the low post with Trayce Jackson-Davis (son of former NBA player Dale Davis). This could be one of the final marquee non-conference matchups of the calendar year 2022. The outcome of a game like this could dictate who gets a 2 seed in the tournament versus a 3 or 4 seed.

Don’t sleep on Wake Forest basketball

Despite blowing a huge lead in its last contest against LSU, Wake Forest is still a dangerous team. Florida transfer point guard Tyree Appleby is off to a great season and is listed as questionable for the game. Still, 10.5 points is too large a cushion to give Steve Forbes and this improved Demon Deacons program. A win at Wisconsin showed you what the ceiling for this squad can look like.

Alabama offers Gonzaga another crack at cracking the top 10

College basketball star Drew Timme‘s senior campaign isn’t getting off to the start Gonzaga had hoped for. It’s been a rocky stretch as the Zags have challenged themselves to a gauntlet of a non-conference schedule (as per usual). Today he plays against top 10 Alabama and a freshman phenom, Brandon Miller. Miller is looking for like a top 5 NBA Draft pick with every new NCAA game he puts on film. By college basketball standards, which has no standards, Alabama should be as safe a bet at even money at home.

Best College Basketball Handicappers Picks for Suspect Spreads Saturday

BY MATTY D.

The best college basketball handicappers all share one common trait: Wins! And the against the spread picks by collegebasketballeyetest.com have had a successful 2021-2022 season. Every Saturday, Matty D. shares his picks on Twitter on the hashtag #SuspectSpreadsSaturday. The phrase alerts fans about which Vegas spreads look suspect, or questionable.

During the regular season, this website boasted a 70-49 record against the spread. That’s a winning percentage of 59%.

Unfortunately, the tide turned during March Madness. Handicapper Matty D. went a woeful 4-10 with his published picks during the NCAA Tournament (below). The good news is that he spotted two large underdogs (+7 or greater) who won their games outright. The winning selections are in below below.

Looking for the best long-shots to win March Madness? CLICK HERE!

My record against the spread this season is 70-49-2 as of March 7, 2022.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS FOR FIRST/SECOND ROUND OF THE TOURNAMENT:

These picks appear in order of confidence level, from the lowest confidence pick at 12 all the way down to the most confident pick at number one.

14. Delaware Hens +15.5 vs. Villanova
13. Longwood Lancers +16.5 vs. Tennessee
12. Providence Friars -2.5 vs. South Dakota State
11. Davidson +1.5 vs. Michigan State
10. UCLA -13.5 vs. Akron
9. Arkansas -5.5 vs. Vermont
8. *New Mexico State +7 vs. UCONN
7. LSU -4 vs. Iowa State
6. Norfolk State +21.5 vs. Baylor
5. *Richmond Spiders +10.5 vs. Iowa
4. Loyola -1.5 vs. Ohio State
3. UAB +8.5 vs. Houston
2. V-Tech +1.5 vs. Texas
1. USC -1.5 vs. Miami

My final record ATS for 2021-2022 including the tournament was 74-59-2 (56%).

Honorable mention: If you are a fan of Big Ten basketball, a 3 team money line parlay with Indiana, Wisconsin and Illinois could make sense. Each team will fluctuate between a 4 to 7 point favorite, but could all win a close game. If you like Indiana, they sit in a similar position as a small favorite against Wyoming in the play-in game.

Check out some of our Elite 8 Articles Trending Now! Just click on your pick below…

Select the seed to survive and advance to the next article!
The collegebasketballeyetest.com bracket features a 12 seed in the national title game.

Matty D’s Philosophy for College Basketball Picks Against the Spread

Just like a Thursday or Friday in mid-March, a Saturday offers the widest sample size of games to choose from. If you’re a college basketball fan, you’re probably familiar with the power 5 schools. If you’re a better, it’s also good to get familiar with a few mid-major conferences. For example, I have gotten cozy with the Conference USA and American conferences over the years. This familiarity helped me go undefeated with 7 correct picks (and one tie) in the selections below.

Underdogs like Providence and Western Kentucky proved their worth early in the season.

My rule is to always bet any 6 point (or more) underdog to cover the first half. If and when an underdog challenges a favorite, it’s normally off of adrenaline and a lack of familiarity in the first half. I would always wager a dollar amount equal to, or slightly more than, the entire point line for the game. I would also traditionally bet 10-30% of that dollar amount on the money line. If I really believe that a 6 point underdog will win the game, I might bet 30% of my point line bet on the money line. For example, if I bet $10 on Providence to cover a 6.5 point spread, I would bet $3 on them to win the game outright. The money-line odds in that situation would be somewhere in the ballpark of 2-1 or 3-1. The advantage to being able to play on sports betting apps is that you don’t have to pay the traditional $5 or $10 minimums per bets at the physical casino. This helps betting on a budget. On FanDuel’s app you can make a minimum bet of 9 cents whereas DraftKings offers a 10 cent minimum.

If you or someone you know is struggling to set limits with sports betting, help is available.

Matty D’s Running Tally of ATS Picks for College Basketball Season

Here is a running tally of the college basketball sports betting picks for the 2021-2022 season with the newest up top.

These picks on February 5, 2022 went 6-5 on the week.
Pick are always published on Twitter before tip off on Saturdays with the same hashtag.

Please follow on Twitter to join the conversation!

Suspect Spreads Saturday Season Finale

Here is the last regular season set of picks.   Matty D is 41-24 on the season.

Track the footprint of the season predictions by searching #SuspectSpreadsSaturday on Twitter.

Take the team on the left.

Auburn +23 vs. Kentucky
Purdue +9 vs. Wisconsin
Temple +3.5 vs.  SMU
Davidson -3 vs. VCU
Wyoming +7 vs. San Diego St.